When looking at the success of a console, it's important to look at its lifetime sales and not just how it does at launch. A firm called Futuresource Consulting has predicted that the PlayStation 4 will do better in sales over the next five years than the Xbox One and the Wii U. They predict that by 2018, Sony will have sold approximately 36 million systems, where as they believe the Xbox One will only have sold about 30 million.
"We expect the Xbox One to sell well in the USA due to existing customer loyalty, re-positioning as an integrated multimedia home hub will open up further market opportunities, though it is launching into a crowded marketplace, so gaining a strong foothold in this category will be challenging. The [PlayStation 4] is likely to maintain it's strong lead in it's core territories of Japan and continental Europe. Due to it's lower price point and positive PR within the gaming community, the [PlayStation 4] will also reduce Xbox's lead in the key Microsoft territories of the USA and UK when compared with previous generations." — The Futuresource Consulting Report
The report includes a lot of numbers and statistics, but it's basically saying that over the next few years digital games and downloads will increase while physical copies of games will slowly diminish, which I don't think will be a surprise to anyone. It does say, however, that this generation of consoles will help revitalize physical games for a period of time.
With the popularity of the PlayStation 2 and PlayStation 3, it's no surprise that Sony has a very loyal and active fan base. It's these fans that will help move the console off the shelves on day one and, if this report is accurate, keep selling well up through 2018. Even with the influx of mobile and free to play gaming, the PlayStation consoles have been selling well. It looks like, if they've got their numbers right, the PlayStation 4 could be a good investment for the next several years.
What do you think? Are you more excited for the Xbox One or PlayStation 4? Will you get one, both, neither? Do you think this report has any merit to it? Let us know in the comments!